Wednesday, August 02, 2006

Chris




Chris is keeping people along the gulf coast alert today. Actually, we
won't know until this weekend what direction Chris will go (ocean or gulf?), but people
are interested in the potential that this storm will enter the Gulf of
Mexico.

Fingers are crossed and people are checking their plywood and battery inventories.

At this point I don't think anyone that was hit by Katrina can take even a cat one. Things
are very fragile,thousands of homes are still untouched in Katrina's wake

Arghh!!! I wish a ridge of high pressure would park itself from Galveston to Pensacola and stay there till November.

Not exactly the bible, but here's a prediction from the Weatherunderground:



Path of Chris (Dr. Jeff Masters - Weatherunderground Founder)


The recent record heat wave over the Eastern U.S. means that the Bermuda High is extending further west than usual, creating a blocking ridge of high pressure that will prevent Chris from recurving to the north in the next five days. The GFS, NOGAPS, UKMET, Canadian, and European models all agree on a west-northwest track taking Chris north of the Dominican Republic and Cuba, into the Bahama Islands, then into Florida or just south of Florida by Sunday. The lone outlier model is the usually reliable GFDL, which takes Chris into the Dominican Republic. For now, NHC is discounting the GFDL. I would not cancel any travel plans for Puerto Rico or the Dominican Republic this week, but those of you planning on visiting the Bahamas may want to rethink those plans.
It now appears likely that Chris will enter the Gulf of Mexico early next week and be a threat to the Gulf Coast. There is a trough of low pressure that will be moving across the Eastern U.S. on Monday that may turn Chris more to the north; high pressure is then forecast to build in on Tuesday and force Chris back to the west-northwest. Given this forecast, there is no region of the Gulf Coast that can assume Chris will miss them.


Always do your best. What you plant now, you will harvest later.

Og Mandino
1923-1996, American motivational author, speaker

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