Friday, July 21, 2023

Tom on Indictments and Elections

 Donald Trump received a target letter from the special prosecutor in the matter of the events surrounding the insurrection of 6 January 2021 a couple of days ago. 

 A target letter almost always precedes an indictment, which would make 3 so far with at least one more case pending.

In the Senate, Tommy Tuberville is continuing to block nominations for newly promoted flag officers, and his colleague, Rand Paul (R-KY),is similarly blocking appointments of upper level State Department appointees, including a number of Ambassadors. But the most consequential development of recent days comes to us from  Michigan 


 Yesterday, Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel charged 16 individuals with electoral fraud in a scheme to replace Michigan's electors, who were Democrats chosen by the voters of the Wolverine State.

 Remember: When we vote for President, we're actually voting for a slate of electors who will, in turn, elect the president when the Electoral College meets. General Nesson has shown great wisdom by resisting the impulse to charge 'national' Republicans, such as Trump, Giuliani, et al because, in the final analysis, these are state cases which have no businesses in federal courts. We can only hope that Attorneys General in states such as Georgia, Wisconsin, and Arizona, where like  charges are under consideration, show similar restraint 


 This is the point in the election cycle where third party initiatives begin to appear. It doesn't happen in every cycle, but when it does, it has the potential of being game-changing, especially in these days when national elections are often decided by a relatively small number of votes.

 In 1980, Illinois congressman John Anderson may have siphoned off enough votes from Jimmy Carter to tip the 1980 election to Ronald Reagan.

 In 1992 the quirky and entertaining H Ross Perot insurgency denied George HW Bush a second term in office,  and in 2000 Ralph Nader's vanity campaign gave us George W Bush and Dick Cheney.

 In 2016 Dr Jill Stein sucked just enough votes away from Hillary Clinton to give us Donald Trump.

 As you can see, third party candidacies tend to work against Democrats. The reason is that for Progressive Democrats the perfect is the enemy of the good. They are more concerned with ideological purity than with electability. While Democrats squabble among themselves, Republicans stick together and win elections.  

 Which brings us to the 'No Labels initiative. It's a group founded by former Sen Joe Lieberman, who has made a fetish out of bipartisanship. The group proposes to run a third party candidate for president in 2024, and that human 'turd in the punchbowl', Sen Joe Manchin, (D-WV), is thinking about a run.  The reason that Manchin is even considering what he must surely realize is a quixotic run, is because he's up for re-election next year in a state that has become so red that most observers give him little chance of holding on to his seat .Manchin, like a number of 2024 Republican candidates, is actually auditioning for a cabinet post in what they hope will be a Trump Restoration. In Manchin's case, he's a candidate for Secretary of Coal.

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